Qualification · Qualification 46
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
48.81 – 13.75
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
95 – 50
Prediction correct · off by 41.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 308.2 ±10.4
Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 11.14Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82Event APEX 10.69Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 109Event APEX 26.98Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 271.4 ±12.2
Season APEX 89Event APEX -3.99Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 20.11Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 87.8Event APEX -2.37Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 173, 3654, 9710
29
/ 100 compatProjected
48.8 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 173, 3654, 9710
Auto
12.5 26%
Teleop
34.7 73%
Endgame
0.6 1%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1027, 155, 3461
9
/ 100 compatProjected
13.7 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 1027, 155, 3461
Auto
-0.5 0%
Teleop
9.2 100%
Endgame
0.5 5%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.19
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score48.8pts
Blue projected score13.7pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 35.1
- Score range
- -9–72
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
308.2Season APEX271.4
12.5Auto-0.5
34.7Teleop9.2
0.6Endgame0.5
54Consistency106
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 4 |
| teleop | 53 | 22 |
| endgame | 25 | 24 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 95 | 50 |
Result
Final score
95 – 50
Prediction correct · off by 41.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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