Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

167.11 – 109.42

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

231 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 67.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 461.8 ±9.8

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 158.32Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 4.93Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 3.86Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.7 ±10.4

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 15.51Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 43.01Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 50.9Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 176, 8567, 2170

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 176, 8567, 2170

Auto

42.5 26%

Teleop

89.2 54%

Endgame

32.2 20%

Strengths

· 176 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7153, 1100, 177

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7153, 1100, 177

Auto

30.9 28%

Teleop

60.8 55%

Endgame

19.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score167.1pts

Blue projected score109.4pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.7
Score range: 87–189
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 411 vs event baseline 124.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

461.8Season APEX387.7

42.5Auto30.9

89.2Teleop60.8

32.2Endgame19.4

66Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	27
teleop	109	80
endgame	49	53
foul	15	20
total	231	180

Result

Final score

231 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 67.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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