Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

214.72 – 120.55

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

219 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 6.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 460.3 ±10.5

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 118.86Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

429Two Many Bobcats

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 61.33Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7127LongMetal Robotics

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 34.53Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 408 ±12.4

181Birds Of Prey

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 26.8Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5142RoboDominators

Season APEX 80Event APEX 20.27Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

571Paragon Robotics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 73.48Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2067, 429, 7127

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2067, 429, 7127

Auto

40.4 21%

Teleop

101.8 53%

Endgame

51.1 26%

Strengths

· 2067 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 181, 5142, 571

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 181, 5142, 571

Auto

18.0 15%

Teleop

64.7 54%

Endgame

38.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score214.7pts

Blue projected score120.6pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 94.2
Score range: 99–237
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 123.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

460.3Season APEX408

40.4Auto18

101.8Teleop64.7

51.1Endgame38.1

46Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	16
teleop	141	56
endgame	22	34
foul	0	5
total	219	111

Result

Final score

219 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 6.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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