Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 62.33

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

73 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 43.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 352.2 ±11.7

1027Mechatronic Maniacs

Season APEX 89Event APEX -11.9Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8709Pathfinder Tech

Season APEX 146Event APEX 7.83Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX -2.35Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 271.2 ±12.2

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 28.81Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 20.91Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9101Green Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 12.61Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1027, 8709, 173

/ 100 compat

Projected

-6.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1027, 8709, 173

Auto

2.0 0%

Teleop

8.8 0%

Endgame

-17.3 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9710, 237, 9101

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9710, 237, 9101

Auto

27.9 41%

Teleop

33.9 50%

Endgame

5.8 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-6.4pts

Blue projected score62.3pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.3
Score range: -22–84
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 149 vs event baseline 124.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

352.2Season APEX271.2

2Auto27.9

8.8Teleop33.9

-17.3Endgame5.8

74Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	22
teleop	35	34
endgame	8	20
foul	5	0
total	73	76

Result

Final score

73 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 43.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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