Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.48 – 193.21

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 263.2 ±12.8

181Birds Of Prey

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 36.7Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1027Mechatronic Maniacs

Season APEX 89Event APEX -9.86Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 31.64Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 624.7 ±9.9

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 9.53Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 75.62Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 108.06Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 181, 1027, 9710

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 181, 1027, 9710

Auto

-3.9 0%

Teleop

32.7 58%

Endgame

28.0 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 237, 2370, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 237, 2370, 2067

Auto

55.1 30%

Teleop

105.4 58%

Endgame

22.5 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58.5pts

Blue projected score193.2pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -134.7
Score range: 36–215
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 300 vs event baseline 123.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

263.2Season APEX624.7

-3.9Auto55.1

32.7Teleop105.4

28Endgame22.5

56Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	83
teleop	19	136
endgame	6	48
foul	0	0
total	33	267

Result

Final score

33 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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