Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.87 – 196.27

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

121 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 329.6 ±11

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX -5.02Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 57.84Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

429Two Many Bobcats

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 68.05Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 498.6 ±11.2

5142RoboDominators

Season APEX 80Event APEX 8.56Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX -9.36Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 197.07Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2170, 177, 429

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2170, 177, 429

Auto

24.3 20%

Teleop

65.4 54%

Endgame

31.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5142, 173, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5142, 173, 195

Auto

41.1 21%

Teleop

116.5 59%

Endgame

38.4 20%

Strengths

· 195 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score120.9pts

Blue projected score196.3pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -75.4
Score range: 99–218
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 349 vs event baseline 121.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

329.6Season APEX498.6

24.3Auto41.1

65.4Teleop116.5

31Endgame38.4

85Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	58
teleop	68	141
endgame	18	29
foul	10	0
total	121	228

Result

Final score

121 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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