Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

170.52 – 37.69

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

196 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.4 ±12.2

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 88.13Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6895Mechanical Madness 4-H

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 39.94Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 42.45Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.9 ±12.8

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 0.34Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10592Stamford Cyber-Hird TSA

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 25.04Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9101Green Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 12.31Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 236, 6895, 1740

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 236, 6895, 1740

Auto

32.8 19%

Teleop

85.6 49%

Endgame

54.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 8567, 10592, 9101

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8567, 10592, 9101

Auto

17.3 61%

Teleop

9.8 35%

Endgame

1.1 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score170.5pts

Blue projected score37.7pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 132.8
Score range: 16–193
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 247 vs event baseline 119.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366.4Season APEX198.9

32.8Auto17.3

85.6Teleop9.8

54.9Endgame1.1

29Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	20
teleop	83	20
endgame	47	11
foul	15	0
total	196	51

Result

Final score

196 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.