Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

115.3 – 153.58

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

110 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 9.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 322.8 ±11.7

6346Cybears Robotics Team

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 22.25Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 63.48Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 29.57Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 420.4 ±10.5

571Paragon Robotics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 70.65Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

429Two Many Bobcats

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 71.41Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 82Event APEX 11.52Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6346, 177, 178

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6346, 177, 178

Auto

29.3 27%

Teleop

73.4 68%

Endgame

5.7 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 571, 429, 3654

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 571, 429, 3654

Auto

29.0 20%

Teleop

75.9 51%

Endgame

42.7 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score115.3pts

Blue projected score153.6pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.3
Score range: 93–176
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 249 vs event baseline 119.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

322.8Season APEX420.4

29.3Auto29

73.4Teleop75.9

5.7Endgame42.7

7Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	11
teleop	62	68
endgame	22	45
foul	0	15
total	110	139

Result

Final score

110 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 9.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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