Skip to content
Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

78.5864.72

54%46%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

11272

Prediction correct · off by 20.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 300 ±11.7
Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 38.1Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 109Event APEX 37.26Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 3.22Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.3 ±12.8
Season APEX 63.1Event APEX -56.58Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 45.21Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 76.09Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1100, 9710, 4176
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
78.6 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 1100, 9710, 4176
Auto
17.4 24%
Teleop
35.5 48%
Endgame
20.6 28%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7694, 6895, 3146
46
/ 100 compat
Projected
64.7 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 7694, 6895, 3146
Auto
15.7 23%
Teleop
30.5 44%
Endgame
23.2 33%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score78.6pts
Blue projected score64.7pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
13.9
Score range
44100
Upset likelihood
46%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 184 vs event baseline 118.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

300Season APEX251.3
17.4Auto15.7
35.5Teleop30.5
20.6Endgame23.2
51Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2721
teleop6630
endgame1921
foul00
total11272

Result

Final score

11272

Prediction correct · off by 20.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.