Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

64.37 – 42.32

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 71

Prediction missed · off by 16.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 291.5 ±11.7

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 11.14Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

181Birds Of Prey

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 46.43Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8709Pathfinder Tech

Season APEX 146Event APEX 6.8Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287.9 ±10.4

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 23.04Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX -6.27Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 25.55Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1991, 181, 8709

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1991, 181, 8709

Auto

23.4 42%

Teleop

22.1 40%

Endgame

10.4 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 155, 2170, 178

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 155, 2170, 178

Auto

27.2 78%

Teleop

7.9 23%

Endgame

-0.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.4pts

Blue projected score42.3pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.1
Score range: 20–86
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 131 vs event baseline 120.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

291.5Season APEX287.9

23.4Auto27.2

22.1Teleop7.9

10.4Endgame-0.1

29Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	25
teleop	27	33
endgame	19	13
foul	0	0
total	60	71

Result

Final score

60 – 71

Prediction missed · off by 16.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.