Qualification · Qualification 25
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
94.19 – 20.75
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
103 – 98
Prediction correct · off by 43 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 376.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 89Event APEX 2.23Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 36.36Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 55.6Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 15.83Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 14.16Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 103.8Event APEX -9.24Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1027, 7127, 177
59
/ 100 compatProjected
94.2 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1027, 7127, 177
Auto
15.9 17%
Teleop
50.6 55%
Endgame
25.9 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10910, 4034, 237
10
/ 100 compatProjected
20.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 10910, 4034, 237
Auto
16.1 65%
Teleop
-8.7 0%
Endgame
17.2 70%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score94.2pts
Blue projected score20.8pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 73.4
- Score range
- 0–115
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
376.6Season APEX267.2
15.9Auto16.1
50.6Teleop-8.7
25.9Endgame17.2
121Consistency88
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 24 |
| teleop | 65 | 48 |
| endgame | 20 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 103 | 98 |
Result
Final score
103 – 98
Prediction correct · off by 43 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.