Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
80.3 – 53.54
58%42%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
281 – 172
Prediction correct · off by 159.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 664.6 ±9.9
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 19.94Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 13.04Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 47.32Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 348.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 12.54Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80Event APEX -12.34Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 53.34Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 571, 1740, 2370
54
/ 100 compatProjected
80.3 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 571, 1740, 2370
Auto
19.8 23%
Teleop
45.9 54%
Endgame
18.8 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1100, 5142, 3146
44
/ 100 compatProjected
53.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1100, 5142, 3146
Auto
11.8 25%
Teleop
28.9 61%
Endgame
6.7 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score80.3pts
Blue projected score53.5pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 26.8
- Score range
- 34–100
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
664.6Season APEX348.2
19.8Auto11.8
45.9Teleop28.9
18.8Endgame6.7
62Consistency108
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 40 | 26 |
| teleop | 166 | 88 |
| endgame | 75 | 53 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 281 | 172 |
Result
Final score
281 – 172
Prediction correct · off by 159.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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