Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

25.94 – 197.59

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 26.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.7 ±12.8

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 31.01Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9101Green Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 26.69Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7694THE IRON LIONS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX -31.76Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 449.3 ±9.8

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 15.36Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 73.36Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 108.87Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 178, 9101, 7694

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 178, 9101, 7694

Auto

38.1 100%

Teleop

-11.6 0%

Endgame

-5.7 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 1991, 9710, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1991, 9710, 2067

Auto

21.5 12%

Teleop

120.8 65%

Endgame

44.6 24%

Strengths

· 2067 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.64 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score25.9pts

Blue projected score197.6pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -171.6
Score range: 6–218
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 205 vs event baseline 113.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223.7Season APEX449.3

38.1Auto21.5

-11.6Teleop120.8

-5.7Endgame44.6

35Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	53
teleop	16	76
endgame	0	18
foul	5	15
total	43	162

Result

Final score

43 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 26.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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