Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0.03 – 227.12

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 64.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 262 ±11.7

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX -3.99Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX -35.76Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6895Mechanical Madness 4-H

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 39.78Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 429.8 ±11.2

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 129.36Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6346Cybears Robotics Team

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 44.04Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 53.72Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7153, 173, 6895

/ 100 compat

Projected

0 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7153, 173, 6895

Auto

13.7 100%

Teleop

-2.3 0%

Endgame

-5.7 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 176, 6346, 155

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.1 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 176, 6346, 155

Auto

28.7 13%

Teleop

137.8 62%

Endgame

55.1 25%

Strengths

· 176 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.47 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score0pts

Blue projected score227.1pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -227.1
Score range: -20–247
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 268 vs event baseline 112.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

262Season APEX429.8

13.7Auto28.7

-2.3Teleop137.8

-5.7Endgame55.1

92Consistency100

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	21
teleop	45	109
endgame	19	53
foul	0	0
total	85	183

Result

Final score

85 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 64.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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