Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
138.23 – 35.54
78%22%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
203 – 115
Prediction correct · off by 72.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 481.3 ±11.2
Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 37.57Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 10.94Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 260Event APEX 89.72Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373 ±10.4
Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 23.72Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 9.73Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 2.09Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 177, 9101, 2067
78
/ 100 compatProjected
138.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 177, 9101, 2067
Auto
46.1 35%
Teleop
66.9 51%
Endgame
18.2 14%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7127, 10910, 1100
21
/ 100 compatProjected
35.5 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7127, 10910, 1100
Auto
14.9 42%
Teleop
30.5 86%
Endgame
-10.0 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 1.04
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score138.2pts
Blue projected score35.5pts
Red win probability78%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 102.7
- Score range
- 16–158
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
481.3Season APEX373
46.1Auto14.9
66.9Teleop30.5
18.2Endgame-10
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 50 | 23 |
| teleop | 127 | 36 |
| endgame | 26 | 46 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 203 | 115 |
Result
Final score
203 – 115
Prediction correct · off by 72.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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