Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
20.08 – 121.38
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
54 – 172
Prediction correct · off by 42.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 37.63Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91.1Event APEX -12.24Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80.3Event APEX -5.31Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 425.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 19.13Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 32.52Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 109Event APEX 69.73Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6346, 2170, 1991
16
/ 100 compatProjected
20.1 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6346, 2170, 1991
Auto
12.6 68%
Teleop
10.0 54%
Endgame
-4.2 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4034, 2370, 9710
72
/ 100 compatProjected
121.4 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4034, 2370, 9710
Auto
18.9 16%
Teleop
70.9 59%
Endgame
30.9 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score20.1pts
Blue projected score121.4pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -101.3
- Score range
- 0–141
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
229.1Season APEX425.1
12.6Auto18.9
10Teleop70.9
-4.2Endgame30.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 24 |
| teleop | 28 | 74 |
| endgame | 14 | 64 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 54 | 172 |
Result
Final score
54 – 172
Prediction correct · off by 42.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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