Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

187.82 – 165.78

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

415 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 137 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 532 ±11.2

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 63.84Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 117.14Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

181Birds Of Prey

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 6.84Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.3 ±12.2

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 41.3Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 16.89Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 107.59Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 236, 195, 181

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 236, 195, 181

Auto

47.6 25%

Teleop

101.4 54%

Endgame

38.0 20%

Strengths

· 195 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 3461, 4176, 230

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3461, 4176, 230

Auto

18.7 11%

Teleop

104.6 62%

Endgame

46.2 27%

Strengths

· 230 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score187.8pts

Blue projected score165.8pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22
Score range: 148–206
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 534 vs event baseline 99.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

532Season APEX265.3

47.6Auto18.7

101.4Teleop104.6

38Endgame46.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	20
teleop	217	59
endgame	120	40
foul	0	0
total	415	119

Result

Final score

415 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 137 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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