Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
27.62 – 36.32
47%53%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
59 – 26
Prediction missed · off by 20.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 308.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 15.77Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 27.3Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80Event APEX -15.45Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191.4 ±12.8
Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 6.52Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 93.2Event APEX -0.48Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 38.1Event APEX 30.28Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 237, 7127, 5142
18
/ 100 compatProjected
27.6 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 237, 7127, 5142
Auto
16.4 56%
Teleop
-1.3 0%
Endgame
14.2 48%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6895, 8567, 10945
35
/ 100 compatProjected
36.3 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 6895, 8567, 10945
Auto
8.5 26%
Teleop
9.0 27%
Endgame
15.5 47%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.59
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score27.6pts
Blue projected score36.3pts
Red win probability47%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -8.7
- Score range
- 9–55
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
308.5Season APEX191.4
16.4Auto8.5
-1.3Teleop9
14.2Endgame15.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 12 |
| teleop | 36 | 8 |
| endgame | 12 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 59 | 26 |
Result
Final score
59 – 26
Prediction missed · off by 20.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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