Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

396.39 – 261.05

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

573 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 153.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 687.9 ±9.3

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 44.51Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 170.76Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 181.12Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 605.6 ±9.3

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 16.15Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 113.09Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 131.81Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9710, 195, 176

/ 100 compat

Projected

396.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9710, 195, 176

Auto

81.0 21%

Teleop

239.7 62%

Endgame

62.9 16%

Strengths

· 176 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7153, 2370, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7153, 2370, 2067

Auto

63.9 23%

Teleop

161.3 57%

Endgame

57.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score396.4pts

Blue projected score261.1pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 135.3
Score range: 233–424
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 703 vs event baseline 152.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

687.9Season APEX605.6

81Auto63.9

239.7Teleop161.3

62.9Endgame57.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	98	70
teleop	307	60
endgame	153	0
foul	15	0
total	573	130

Result

Final score

573 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 153.8 pts

Match videos

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