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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
NE District North Shore Event

Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

195.1 – 155.84

62%38%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 73 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 480 ±11.2
1058PVC Pirates
A
Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 77.21Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
246Lobstah Bots
C
Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 18.24Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
2423The KwarQs
C
Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 99.65Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 489.6 ±10.5
5735Control Freaks
D
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 18.72Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
78AIR STRIKE
B
Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 60.74Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2877LigerBots
A
Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 76.38Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1058, 246, 2423
75
/ 100 compat
Projected
195.1 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 1058, 246, 2423
Auto
45.5 25%
Teleop
99.2 54%
Endgame
40.6 22%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5735, 78, 2877
64
/ 100 compat
Projected
155.8 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 5735, 78, 2877
Auto
38.8 26%
Teleop
83.9 57%
Endgame
24.3 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.31
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score195.1pts
Blue projected score155.8pts
Red win probability62%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
39.3
Score range
128–223
Upset likelihood
38%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
Close match
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 497 vs event baseline 156.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

480Season APEX489.6
45.5Auto38.8
99.2Teleop83.9
40.6Endgame24.3
45Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6353
teleop69112
endgame5367
foul6515
total250247

Result

Final score

250 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 73 pts

Match videos

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