Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.82 – 191.29

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

116 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 31.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 323 ±11.7

11483Red Line Robotics

Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 29.23Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6367The ElectroLights

Season APEX 77.7Event APEX 35.12Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 64.47Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 462.4 ±10.5

69HYPER

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 39.06Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 71.99Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3566Gone Fishin'

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 80.24Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11483, 6367, 4761

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11483, 6367, 4761

Auto

8.0 8%

Teleop

59.8 60%

Endgame

32.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 69, 1922, 3566

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 69, 1922, 3566

Auto

19.5 11%

Teleop

104.5 59%

Endgame

53.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.8pts

Blue projected score191.3pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.5
Score range: 101–219
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 257 vs event baseline 153.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

323Season APEX462.4

8Auto19.5

59.8Teleop104.5

32.5Endgame53.2

29Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	29
teleop	55	86
endgame	46	26
foul	0	0
total	116	141

Result

Final score

116 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 31.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.