Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

371.8 – 133.26

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

464 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 57.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 671.4 ±8.8

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 171.77Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3958Schrodinger's Cat

Season APEX 77Event APEX 29.64Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5813Morpheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 170.39Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323 ±11.7

11483Red Line Robotics

Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 31.91Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6367The ElectroLights

Season APEX 77.7Event APEX 34.85Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 66.5Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 125, 3958, 5813

/ 100 compat

Projected

371.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 125, 3958, 5813

Auto

51.0 14%

Teleop

215.9 59%

Endgame

97.4 27%

Strengths

· 125 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11483, 6367, 4761

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11483, 6367, 4761

Auto

8.2 8%

Teleop

58.6 59%

Endgame

32.3 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score371.8pts

Blue projected score133.3pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 238.5
Score range: 106–399
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 574 vs event baseline 149.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

671.4Season APEX323

51Auto8.2

215.9Teleop58.6

97.4Endgame32.3

0Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	14
teleop	283	59
endgame	94	32
foul	10	5
total	464	110

Result

Final score

464 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 57.7 pts

Match videos

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