Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
193.35 – 72.47
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
156 – 94
Prediction correct · off by 29.4 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 336.1 ±12.8
Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 103.14Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.7Event APEX 60.03Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 30.18Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 440.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 30.86Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 11.43Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 30.18Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 133, 6367, 4169
84
/ 100 compatProjected
193.4 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 133, 6367, 4169
Auto
23.4 15%
Teleop
87.4 57%
Endgame
41.7 27%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4761, 97, 2877
50
/ 100 compatProjected
72.5 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 4761, 97, 2877
Auto
17.1 25%
Teleop
28.3 42%
Endgame
22.3 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score193.4pts
Blue projected score72.5pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 120.9
- Score range
- 47–218
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
336.1Season APEX440.1
23.4Auto17.1
87.4Teleop28.3
41.7Endgame22.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 19 |
| teleop | 73 | 52 |
| endgame | 61 | 18 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 156 | 94 |
Result
Final score
156 – 94
Prediction correct · off by 29.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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