Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.71 – 254.55

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 64.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 396.9 ±11.2

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 26.95Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 11.07Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 36.69Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 559.5 ±11.2

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 137.34Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

246Lobstah Bots

Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 31.56Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 85.65Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8626, 6201, 2876

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8626, 6201, 2876

Auto

18.7 31%

Teleop

24.3 40%

Endgame

18.1 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 133, 246, 2877

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 133, 246, 2877

Auto

40.8 17%

Teleop

146.9 63%

Endgame

46.8 20%

Strengths

· 133 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.7pts

Blue projected score254.6pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -179.8
Score range: 48–282
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 200 vs event baseline 151.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

396.9Season APEX559.5

18.7Auto40.8

24.3Teleop146.9

18.1Endgame46.8

43Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	30
teleop	29	63
endgame	15	23
foul	0	20
total	64	136

Result

Final score

64 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 64.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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