Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.04 – 101.76

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

22 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 28.9 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 328.2 ±10.7

433Firebirds

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 26Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 27.14Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1761STEAMpunk Tigers

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX -Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 334.7 ±11

11483Red Line Robotics

Season APEX 110.8Event APEX -Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5459Ipswich TIGERS

Season APEX 98.1Event APEX 62.29Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

151Tough Techs

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 14.57Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 433, 6201, 1761

/ 100 compat

Projected

78 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 433, 6201, 1761

Auto

22.9 31%

Teleop

34.7 47%

Endgame

16.1 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11483, 5459, 151

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11483, 5459, 151

Auto

15.2 23%

Teleop

30.2 45%

Endgame

22.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score78pts

Blue projected score101.8pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.7
Score range: 51–129
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 122 vs event baseline 149.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

328.2Season APEX334.7

15.4Auto7.7

22.3Teleop17.7

11.1Endgame17.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	14
teleop	13	39
endgame	2	32
foul	0	15
total	22	100

Result

Final score

22 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 28.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.