Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

134.66 – 82.16

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

110 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 14.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.2 ±11

6731Record Robotics

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 10.54Rank 20Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 37.79Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3566Gone Fishin'

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 86.33Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 518.5 ±10.7

3205Patriots

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX -9.42Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 79.76Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 11.82Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6731, 2876, 3566

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6731, 2876, 3566

Auto

28.8 24%

Teleop

71.1 59%

Endgame

21.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3205, 1058, 6201

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3205, 1058, 6201

Auto

20.6 24%

Teleop

51.1 59%

Endgame

14.9 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score134.7pts

Blue projected score82.2pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 52.5
Score range: 55–162
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 196 vs event baseline 150.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.2Season APEX518.5

28.8Auto20.6

71.1Teleop51.1

21.2Endgame14.9

34Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	11
teleop	52	11
endgame	27	24
foul	20	40
total	110	86

Result

Final score

110 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 14.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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