Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

216.49 – 175.77

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

210 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 520.1 ±9.8

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 94.3Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

151Tough Techs

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 62.78Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 59.41Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 318.7 ±12.2

2423The KwarQs

Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 100.7Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2084Robots by the C

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX 30.3Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5459Ipswich TIGERS

Season APEX 98.1Event APEX 44.77Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 88, 151, 4761

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 88, 151, 4761

Auto

42.3 20%

Teleop

132.5 62%

Endgame

37.7 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2423, 2084, 5459

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2423, 2084, 5459

Auto

25.0 17%

Teleop

91.1 61%

Endgame

34.4 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score216.5pts

Blue projected score175.8pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.7
Score range: 149–243
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 354 vs event baseline 150.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

520.1Season APEX318.7

42.3Auto25

132.5Teleop91.1

37.7Endgame34.4

0Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	41
teleop	93	77
endgame	51	26
foul	20	0
total	210	144

Result

Final score

210 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.