Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

250.73 – 124.35

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

218 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 38 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 542.7 ±11.2

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 144.06Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 100.27Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10912Dragons

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 6.4Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 250.4 ±12.2

3958Schrodinger's Cat

Season APEX 77Event APEX 34.5Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2084Robots by the C

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX 36.93Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

69HYPER

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 52.92Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 133, 88, 10912

/ 100 compat

Projected

250.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 133, 88, 10912

Auto

38.1 16%

Teleop

160.0 68%

Endgame

36.9 16%

Strengths

· 133 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3958, 2084, 69

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3958, 2084, 69

Auto

8.3 7%

Teleop

74.7 65%

Endgame

31.1 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.35 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score250.7pts

Blue projected score124.4pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 126.4
Score range: 97–278
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 299 vs event baseline 148.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

542.7Season APEX250.4

38.1Auto8.3

160Teleop74.7

36.9Endgame31.1

18Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	8
teleop	122	33
endgame	46	20
foul	0	20
total	218	81

Result

Final score

218 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 38 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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