Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

66.46 – 186.12

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 326.8 ±11.7

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 6.33Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

69HYPER

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 52.92Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10912Dragons

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 7.21Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 638.7 ±9.9

238Crusaders

A+

Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 97.02Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6731Record Robotics

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 5.26Rank 20Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 83.84Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6201, 69, 10912

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6201, 69, 10912

Auto

11.4 17%

Teleop

37.4 57%

Endgame

16.9 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 238, 6731, 2877

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 238, 6731, 2877

Auto

41.4 22%

Teleop

108.6 57%

Endgame

41.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score66.5pts

Blue projected score186.1pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -119.7
Score range: 39–213
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 302 vs event baseline 147.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

326.8Season APEX638.7

11.4Auto41.4

37.4Teleop108.6

16.9Endgame41.5

39Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	59
teleop	46	103
endgame	21	49
foul	5	0
total	91	211

Result

Final score

91 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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