Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

214.54 – 235.8

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

178 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 30.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 445.8 ±11.7

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 41.15Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

97Bionic Beef

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 24.12Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 149.27Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 536.2 ±10

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 154.26Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4311Swampscott Currents

Season APEX 149.7Event APEX 77.81Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5735Control Freaks

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 3.73Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 78, 97, 133

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 78, 97, 133

Auto

33.8 18%

Teleop

120.8 65%

Endgame

32.1 17%

Strengths

· 133 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 125, 4311, 5735

/ 100 compat

Projected

235.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 125, 4311, 5735

Auto

22.2 10%

Teleop

135.3 61%

Endgame

65.2 29%

Strengths

· 125 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score214.5pts

Blue projected score235.8pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.3
Score range: 189–262
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 439 vs event baseline 146.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

445.8Season APEX536.2

33.8Auto22.2

120.8Teleop135.3

32.1Endgame65.2

14Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	4
teleop	115	155
endgame	15	102
foul	15	0
total	178	261

Result

Final score

178 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 30.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.