Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

95.62 – 76.05

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

130 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 29.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 302.4 ±11.6

6731Record Robotics

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 3.79Rank 20Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

151Tough Techs

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 54.49Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

69HYPER

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 37.34Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 203.3 ±13.9

97Bionic Beef

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 17.35Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4169Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 11.63Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

246Lobstah Bots

Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 47.07Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6731, 151, 69

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6731, 151, 69

Auto

14.1 15%

Teleop

58.5 63%

Endgame

20.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 97, 4169, 246

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 97, 4169, 246

Auto

25.2 39%

Teleop

35.6 56%

Endgame

3.3 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score95.6pts

Blue projected score76.1pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 19.6
Score range: 51–121
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 140.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

302.4Season APEX203.3

14.1Auto25.2

58.5Teleop35.6

20Endgame3.3

8Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	16
teleop	72	17
endgame	26	14
foul	0	5
total	130	52

Result

Final score

130 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 29.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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