Qualification · Qualification 41
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
144.72 – 102.46
63%37%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
219 – 146
Prediction correct · off by 58.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 324.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 37.72Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 93.91Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 13.09Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 384.3 ±11.2
Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 73.21Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 1.67Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77Event APEX 27.58Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2876, 2423, 1761
57
/ 100 compatProjected
144.7 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2876, 2423, 1761
Auto
26.5 19%
Teleop
97.4 68%
Endgame
18.6 13%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2877, 9443, 3958
49
/ 100 compatProjected
102.5 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2877, 9443, 3958
Auto
19.0 21%
Teleop
36.9 40%
Endgame
36.6 40%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.25
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score144.7pts
Blue projected score102.5pts
Red win probability63%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 42.3
- Score range
- 77–170
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
324.3Season APEX384.3
26.5Auto19
97.4Teleop36.9
18.6Endgame36.6
0Consistency94
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 55 | 34 |
| teleop | 67 | 69 |
| endgame | 62 | 43 |
| foul | 35 | 0 |
| total | 219 | 146 |
Result
Final score
219 – 146
Prediction correct · off by 58.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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