Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
62.18 – 79.28
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
72 – 54
Prediction missed · off by 17.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.6 ±13.3
Season APEX 98.1Event APEX 50.58Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 9.87Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 1.73Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.5 ±12.8
Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 10.98Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 39.48Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 28.82Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5459, 4169, 1721
21
/ 100 compatProjected
62.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5459, 4169, 1721
Auto
6.1 22%
Teleop
-14.4 0%
Endgame
36.3 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10912, 78, 10156
48
/ 100 compatProjected
79.3 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 10912, 78, 10156
Auto
11.9 19%
Teleop
36.9 60%
Endgame
12.3 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score62.2pts
Blue projected score79.3pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -17.1
- Score range
- 37–104
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
197.6Season APEX339.5
6.1Auto11.9
-14.4Teleop36.9
36.3Endgame12.3
77Consistency115
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 17 |
| teleop | 10 | 21 |
| endgame | 10 | 1 |
| foul | 25 | 15 |
| total | 72 | 54 |
Result
Final score
72 – 54
Prediction missed · off by 17.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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