Qualification · Qualification 34
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
90.77 – 90.04
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
81 – 120
Prediction missed · off by 19.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.6 ±13.3
Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 42.71Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.7Event APEX 27.19Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 20.87Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 7.13Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80.9Event APEX 9.75Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 73.16Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 69, 6367, 3205
48
/ 100 compatProjected
90.8 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 69, 6367, 3205
Auto
12.3 17%
Teleop
38.6 54%
Endgame
20.0 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11483, 5563, 3566
52
/ 100 compatProjected
90 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 11483, 5563, 3566
Auto
19.3 28%
Teleop
37.2 54%
Endgame
12.1 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score90.8pts
Blue projected score90pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0.7
- Score range
- 66–115
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
268.6Season APEX296.3
12.3Auto19.3
38.6Teleop37.2
20Endgame12.1
20Consistency92
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 23 |
| teleop | 48 | 72 |
| endgame | 22 | 25 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 81 | 120 |
Result
Final score
81 – 120
Prediction missed · off by 19.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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