Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
178.51 – 97.57
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
74 – 141
Prediction missed · off by 74 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 459.9 ±11.1
Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 71.46Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 34.65Rank 20Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 98.1Event APEX 72.4Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 423.7 ±11.2
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 2.93Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 64.61Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77Event APEX 30.03Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1922, 6731, 5459
68
/ 100 compatProjected
178.5 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 1922, 6731, 5459
Auto
8.6 6%
Teleop
84.8 57%
Endgame
55.0 37%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4169, 238, 3958
48
/ 100 compatProjected
97.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4169, 238, 3958
Auto
11.5 11%
Teleop
61.1 60%
Endgame
28.9 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.99 · Blue 1.04
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score178.5pts
Blue projected score97.6pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 80.9
- Score range
- 73–204
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
459.9Season APEX423.7
8.6Auto11.5
84.8Teleop61.1
55Endgame28.9
66Consistency106
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 3 | 15 |
| teleop | 42 | 72 |
| endgame | 19 | 34 |
| foul | 10 | 20 |
| total | 74 | 141 |
Result
Final score
74 – 141
Prediction missed · off by 74 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.