Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.7 – 254.02

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

149 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 57.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 331.9 ±11.7

9443Aluminum Panthers

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 21.88Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

151Tough Techs

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 3.21Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4311Swampscott Currents

Season APEX 149.7Event APEX 14.61Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 593.6 ±9.8

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 43.79Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2713Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 272.1Event APEX 78.28Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 131.95Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9443, 151, 4311

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9443, 151, 4311

Auto

7.0 14%

Teleop

21.0 42%

Endgame

21.5 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2876, 2713, 133

/ 100 compat

Projected

254 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2876, 2713, 133

Auto

31.4 13%

Teleop

162.3 66%

Endgame

51.1 21%

Strengths

· 133 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.7pts

Blue projected score254pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -214.3
Score range: 15–279
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 398 vs event baseline 137.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

331.9Season APEX593.6

7Auto31.4

21Teleop162.3

21.5Endgame51.1

202Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	52
teleop	73	169
endgame	54	28
foul	5	0
total	149	249

Result

Final score

149 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 57.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.