Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

332.13 – 152.8

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

361 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 47 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 615.9 ±9.4

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 124.72Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3958Schrodinger's Cat

Season APEX 77Event APEX 31.99Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 175.42Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.4 ±12.2

5459Ipswich TIGERS

Season APEX 98.1Event APEX 40.48Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3566Gone Fishin'

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 78.7Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6367The ElectroLights

Season APEX 77.7Event APEX 33.62Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 133, 3958, 125

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 133, 3958, 125

Auto

43.1 14%

Teleop

192.4 61%

Endgame

79.0 25%

Strengths

· 125 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5459, 3566, 6367

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5459, 3566, 6367

Auto

31.8 26%

Teleop

55.5 45%

Endgame

35.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score332.1pts

Blue projected score152.8pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 179.3
Score range: 124–361
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 579 vs event baseline 162.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

615.9Season APEX280.4

43.1Auto31.8

192.4Teleop55.5

79Endgame35.6

0Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	19
teleop	247	34
endgame	68	50
foul	5	115
total	361	218

Result

Final score

361 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 47 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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