Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.1 – 112.68

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

112 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 11.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 435.8 ±11.2

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 6.19Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 53.82Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2084Robots by the C

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX 30.09Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 458.5 ±12.4

5563Phalanx

Season APEX 80.9Event APEX 22.22Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 40.25Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 50.21Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6201, 78, 2084

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6201, 78, 2084

Auto

11.3 18%

Teleop

26.5 43%

Endgame

23.7 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5563, 8626, 88

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5563, 8626, 88

Auto

19.5 18%

Teleop

39.0 36%

Endgame

49.5 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.1pts

Blue projected score112.7pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -22.6
Score range: 65–138
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 226 vs event baseline 136.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

435.8Season APEX458.5

11.3Auto19.5

26.5Teleop39

23.7Endgame49.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	39
teleop	67	71
endgame	7	4
foul	25	0
total	112	114

Result

Final score

112 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 11.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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