Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

33.47 – 123.28

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

94 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 39.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 288.4 ±11.7

151Tough Techs

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX -4.1Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1721Tidal Force

Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 1.68Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 35.89Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 655.4 ±9.3

238Crusaders

A+

Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 53.03Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11483Red Line Robotics

Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 5.65Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 64.6Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 151, 1721, 2876

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 151, 1721, 2876

Auto

19.8 38%

Teleop

32.4 62%

Endgame

-0.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 238, 11483, 1058

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 238, 11483, 1058

Auto

15.4 14%

Teleop

49.1 44%

Endgame

48.0 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score33.5pts

Blue projected score123.3pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.8
Score range: 8–148
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 137.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

288.4Season APEX655.4

19.8Auto15.4

32.4Teleop49.1

-0.3Endgame48

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	36
teleop	35	101
endgame	29	0
foul	20	5
total	94	142

Result

Final score

94 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 39.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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