Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

219.57 – 111.08

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

273 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 28.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 441.8 ±11

5459Ipswich TIGERS

Season APEX 98.1Event APEX 82.3Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 104.43Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 32.84Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 411.8 ±12.4

10156Marshy Machines

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 27.62Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 52.71Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9443Aluminum Panthers

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 30.75Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5459, 133, 4761

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5459, 133, 4761

Auto

31.6 17%

Teleop

123.9 65%

Endgame

35.9 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10156, 1922, 9443

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10156, 1922, 9443

Auto

23.9 19%

Teleop

77.1 63%

Endgame

21.7 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.18 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score219.6pts

Blue projected score111.1pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 108.5
Score range: 87–244
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 380 vs event baseline 136.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

441.8Season APEX411.8

31.6Auto23.9

123.9Teleop77.1

35.9Endgame21.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	1
teleop	176	59
endgame	77	42
foul	0	5
total	273	107

Result

Final score

273 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 28.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.