Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
111.7 – 474.93
2%98%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
1265 – 1262
Prediction missed · off by 970.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 358.4 ±11
Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 33.77Rank 11Record 7-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 45.25Rank 6Record 7-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 32.68Rank 8Record 7-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3
Season APEX 0Event APEX 158.31Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 158.31Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 158.31Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 226, 6120, 4422
46
/ 100 compatProjected
111.7 pts
~0.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 226, 6120, 4422
Auto
17.9 15%
Teleop
63.8 55%
Endgame
34.5 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9982, 9981, 9983
85
/ 100 compatProjected
474.9 pts
~2.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9982, 9981, 9983
Auto
30.5 12%
Teleop
118.6 47%
Endgame
102.0 41%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.31
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score111.7pts
Blue projected score474.9pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample110alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -363.2
- Score range
- 79–508
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-17
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Match context
Close match
High scoring
Playoff
Combined score 2527 vs event baseline 183.4.
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
358.4Season APEX0
17.9Auto30.5
63.8Teleop118.6
34.5Endgame102
34Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 29 |
| teleop | 61 | 46 |
| endgame | 30 | 22 |
| foul | 1160 | 1165 |
| total | 1265 | 1262 |
Result
Final score
1265 – 1262
Prediction missed · off by 970.2 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.