2026 Michigan Advanced Robotics Competition (MARC)

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

154.29 – 224.58

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

555 – 767

Prediction correct · off by 471.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6

9985Off-Season Demo Team 9985

Season APEX -Event APEX 51.43Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9984Off-Season Demo Team 9984

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 51.43Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9986Off-Season Demo Team 9986

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 51.43Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9982Off-Season Demo Team 9982

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 74.86Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9981Off-Season Demo Team 9981

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 74.86Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9983Off-Season Demo Team 9983

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 74.86Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9985, 9984, 9986

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.3 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9985, 9984, 9986

Auto

15.4 17%

Teleop

44.6 50%

Endgame

30.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9982, 9981, 9983

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.6 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9982, 9981, 9983

Auto

30.9 23%

Teleop

54.9 41%

Endgame

48.9 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score154.3pts

Blue projected score224.6pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -70.3
Score range: 123–256
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1322 vs event baseline 171.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

15.4Auto30.9

44.6Teleop54.9

30Endgame48.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	30
teleop	131	193
endgame	71	164
foul	310	380
total	555	767

Result

Final score

555 – 767

Prediction correct · off by 471.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.