Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
325.49 – 229.35
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
332 – 266
Prediction correct · off by 21.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 518.8 ±9.5
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 12.57Rank 14Record 5-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 177.01Rank 1Record 13-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 135.91Rank 2Record 13-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 393 ±11
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 91.14Rank 4Record 9-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 44.85Rank 10Record 7-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 93.36Rank 3Record 9-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 240, 503, 6615
80
/ 100 compatProjected
325.5 pts
~2.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 240, 503, 6615
Auto
43.9 13%
Teleop
201.9 60%
Endgame
88.1 26%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6081, 1502, 2834
65
/ 100 compatProjected
229.4 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6081, 1502, 2834
Auto
32.4 14%
Teleop
140.9 61%
Endgame
58.2 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.26 · Blue 1.12
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score325.5pts
Blue projected score229.4pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample110alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 96.1
- Score range
- 193–361
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-17
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
518.8Season APEX393
43.9Auto32.4
201.9Teleop140.9
88.1Endgame58.2
34Consistency27
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 50 | 63 |
| teleop | 246 | 139 |
| endgame | 36 | 64 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 332 | 266 |
Result
Final score
332 – 266
Prediction correct · off by 21.6 pts
Match videos
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