Qualification · Qualification 6
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
96.02 – 99.2
49%51%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
106 – 84
Prediction missed · off by 12.6 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 280.8 ±11.6
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 10.99Rank 11Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 69.96Rank 7Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 15.07Rank 10Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 131.8 ±41.2
Season APEX 0Event APEX 18.25Rank 16Record 0-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 27.49Rank 14Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 53.46Rank 12Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3773, 6081, 1502
51
/ 100 compatProjected
96 pts
~1.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 3773, 6081, 1502
Auto
14.2 17%
Teleop
44.3 52%
Endgame
26.4 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9992, 240, 6570
43
/ 100 compatProjected
99.2 pts
~1.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9992, 240, 6570
Auto
14.2 14%
Teleop
62.2 61%
Endgame
24.9 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.6
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score96pts
Blue projected score99.2pts
Red win probability49%
Event bonus sample22alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -3.2
- Score range
- 66–129
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
280.8Season APEX131.8
14.2Auto14.2
44.3Teleop62.2
26.4Endgame24.9
156Consistency60
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 20 |
| teleop | 50 | 51 |
| endgame | 26 | 13 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 106 | 84 |
Result
Final score
106 – 84
Prediction missed · off by 12.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.