Qualification · Qualification 38
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
177.73 – 196.34
44%56%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 368.4 ±11
Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 45.38Rank 8Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 93.11Rank 3Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 39.24Rank 10Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 229.4 ±41
Season APEX 0Event APEX 65.2Rank 5Record 6-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 82.94Rank 4Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 48.2Rank 13Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1502, 2834, 6120
66
/ 100 compatProjected
177.7 pts
~1.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1502, 2834, 6120
Auto
31.7 18%
Teleop
99.6 56%
Endgame
48.0 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9993, 6081, 4422
72
/ 100 compatProjected
196.3 pts
~1.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9993, 6081, 4422
Auto
37.8 20%
Teleop
105.4 54%
Endgame
50.3 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.95
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score177.7pts
Blue projected score196.3pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample50alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 71%, blue 78%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -18.6
- Score range
- 148–226
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
368.4Season APEX229.4
31.7Auto37.8
99.6Teleop105.4
48Endgame50.3
38Consistency44
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.