Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
166.14 – 309.18
14%86%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 232.3 ±11.6
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 76.4Rank 4Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 62.37Rank 10Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 27.37Rank 15Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528 ±9.8
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 153.71Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 69.47Rank 5Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 86Rank 8Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4381, 6570, 240
58
/ 100 compatProjected
166.1 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 4381, 6570, 240
Auto
22.5 14%
Teleop
102.3 65%
Endgame
33.2 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6615, 2834, 4422
83
/ 100 compatProjected
309.2 pts
~2.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6615, 2834, 4422
Auto
35.4 12%
Teleop
189.7 62%
Endgame
81.4 27%
Strengths
- · 6615 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.62
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score166.1pts
Blue projected score309.2pts
Red win probability14%
Event bonus sample32alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 71%, blue 85%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -143
- Score range
- 136–339
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
232.3Season APEX528
22.5Auto35.4
102.3Teleop189.7
33.2Endgame81.4
43Consistency96
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.