Qualification · Qualification 28
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
203.21 – 115.95
75%25%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.6 ±11.1
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -12.87Rank 14Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 153.71Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 62.37Rank 10Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 170 ±41.2
Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.5Rank 16Record 0-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 22.45Rank 7Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 86Rank 8Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3773, 6615, 6570
67
/ 100 compatProjected
203.2 pts
~2.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 3773, 6615, 6570
Auto
19.3 10%
Teleop
126.8 65%
Endgame
47.7 25%
Strengths
- · 6615 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9992, 4395, 4422
53
/ 100 compatProjected
116 pts
~1.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9992, 4395, 4422
Auto
17.6 15%
Teleop
66.0 57%
Endgame
32.3 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.25 · Blue 1.26
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score203.2pts
Blue projected score116pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample32alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 71%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 87.3
- Score range
- 86–233
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
369.6Season APEX170
19.3Auto17.6
126.8Teleop66
47.7Endgame32.3
20Consistency102
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.