Qualification · Qualification 26
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
206.69 – 226.84
44%56%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 178.6 ±41
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 40.99Rank 12Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 76.4Rank 4Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 0Event APEX 89.3Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 415.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 86Rank 8Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -12.87Rank 14Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 153.71Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6120, 4381, 9993
75
/ 100 compatProjected
206.7 pts
~1.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6120, 4381, 9993
Auto
36.3 19%
Teleop
103.0 53%
Endgame
56.2 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 77%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4422, 3773, 6615
77
/ 100 compatProjected
226.8 pts
~1.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 4422, 3773, 6615
Auto
26.5 12%
Teleop
126.8 60%
Endgame
59.1 28%
Strengths
- · 6615 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 77%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.91
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score206.7pts
Blue projected score226.8pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample32alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 77%, blue 73%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -20.2
- Score range
- 177–257
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
178.6Season APEX415.8
36.3Auto26.5
103Teleop126.8
56.2Endgame59.1
70Consistency73
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.