Qualification · Qualification 22
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
181.22 – 251.48
29%71%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 211 ±41.2
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 22.45Rank 7Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 0Event APEX 89.3Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 69.47Rank 5Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.6 ±11.1
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 70.4Rank 6Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 153.71Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 27.37Rank 15Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4395, 9993, 2834
68
/ 100 compatProjected
181.2 pts
~1.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 4395, 9993, 2834
Auto
33.4 18%
Teleop
110.4 60%
Endgame
39.4 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 78%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6081, 6615, 240
84
/ 100 compatProjected
251.5 pts
~2.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6081, 6615, 240
Auto
37.3 15%
Teleop
139.1 56%
Endgame
69.9 28%
Strengths
- · 6615 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 78%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.41 · Blue 2.21
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score181.2pts
Blue projected score251.5pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample32alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 78%, blue 74%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -70.3
- Score range
- 151–281
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
211Season APEX387.6
33.4Auto37.3
110.4Teleop139.1
39.4Endgame69.9
88Consistency69
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.