Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
256.79 – 217.24
62%38%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 504.3 ±10
Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 69.47Rank 5Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 70.4Rank 6Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 116.92Rank 3Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 389.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 76.4Rank 4Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -12.87Rank 14Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 153.71Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2834, 6081, 503
79
/ 100 compatProjected
256.8 pts
~2.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2834, 6081, 503
Auto
28.0 10%
Teleop
167.8 62%
Endgame
73.5 27%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 79%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4381, 3773, 6615
74
/ 100 compatProjected
217.2 pts
~1.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 4381, 3773, 6615
Auto
26.1 13%
Teleop
121.6 62%
Endgame
47.9 24%
Strengths
- · 6615 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 79%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score256.8pts
Blue projected score217.2pts
Red win probability62%
Event bonus sample32alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 79%, blue 73%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 39.6
- Score range
- 187–287
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
504.3Season APEX389.6
28Auto26.1
167.8Teleop121.6
73.5Endgame47.9
91Consistency44
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.